Development of an IVF prediction model for donor oocytes: a retrospective analysis of 10 877 embryo transfers

Abstract

STUDY QUESTION: Can we develop a prediction model for the chance of a live birth following the transfer of an embryo created using donated oocytes? SUMMARY ANSWER: Three primary models that included patient, past treatment, and cycle characteristics were developed using Australian data to predict the chance of a live birth following the transfer of an embryo created using donated oocytes; these models were well-calibrated to the population studied, achieved reasonable predictive power and generalizability when tested on New Zealand data. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Nearly 9% of ART embryo transfer cycles performed globally use embryos created using donated oocytes. This percentage rises to one-qu..